VA-05 House election: Tom Perriello vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 45% (80.0%), At least 46% (71.0%), At least 48% (50.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 45%80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
At least 46%71.0%71.0¢29.0¢
At least 48%50.0%50.0¢50.0¢
At least 38%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 42%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 40%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 44%13.0%13.0¢87.0¢
At least 54%12.0%12.0¢88.0¢
At least 50%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
At least 52%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 45%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Tom Perriello in the 2026 VA-05 House election is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Tom Perriello ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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