IL-08 House election: Jennifer Davis vote percent

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 38% (53.0%), At least 40% (39.0%), At least 42% (39.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
At least 38%53.0%53.0¢47.0¢
At least 40%39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
At least 42%39.0%39.0¢61.0¢
At least 44%38.0%38.0¢62.0¢
At least 48%28.0%28.0¢72.0¢
At least 50%21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
At least 46%16.0%16.0¢84.0¢
At least 34%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢
At least 36%6.0%6.0¢94.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 38%:

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jennifer Davis in the 2026 IL-08 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Jennifer Davis ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.

Sources

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