CA-11 House election: Connie Chan vote percent
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:50 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 38% (98.0%), At least 40% (95.0%), At least 42% (85.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 38% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 40% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 42% | 85.0% | 85.0¢ | 15.0¢ |
| At least 44% | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 38%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Connie Chan in the 2026 CA-11 House election is 38% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Connie Chan ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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