VA-02 House election: Elaine Luria vote percent
As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 11:13:52 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 44% (98.0%), At least 56% (95.0%), At least 53% (53.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 44% | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 56% | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 53% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 52% | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| At least 54% | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 58% | 24.0% | 24.0¢ | 76.0¢ |
| At least 60% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| At least 50% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 46% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| At least 48% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for At least 44%:
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Elaine Luria in the 2026 VA-02 House election is 44% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Elaine Luria ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
Sources
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