Generic congressional ballot on Oct 26, 2026?
As of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:49:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.4% (54.0%), 8.5% (20.0%), 8.3% (14.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 26 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.4% | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| 8.5% | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 8.3% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Below 8.1% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 8.1% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 8.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.4%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.4% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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