Generic congressional ballot on Oct 22, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 16:17:48 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 8.3% (60.0%), 8.3% (42.0%), 8.2% (5.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 8.3% | 60.0% | 60.0¢ | 40.0¢ |
| 8.3% | 42.0% | 42.0¢ | 58.0¢ |
| 8.2% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 7.9% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 8.0% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 8.1% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| 7.7% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 7.8% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Below 7.7% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 8.3%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is above 8.3% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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