Generic congressional ballot on Oct 21, 2026?
As of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 08:46:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price 7.6% (31.0%), 8.0% (28.0%), 7.9% (18.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Wed, 21 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7.6% | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| 8.0% | 28.0% | 28.0¢ | 72.0¢ |
| 7.9% | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| 7.7% | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| Below 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Above 8.2% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $9K
- Liquidity: $9K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 7.6%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 7.6% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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