Generic congressional ballot on Oct 14, 2026?
As of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 18:25:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.1% (76.0%), 8.2% (11.0%), 8.3% (5.0%). The market has $25K in volume and closes on Wed, 14 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.1% | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| 8.2% | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 8.3% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.4% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Below 8.1% | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| 8.5% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 8.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 8.7% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $25K
- Liquidity: $25K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.1%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.1% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 14, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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