Generic congressional ballot on Oct 4, 2026?
As of Sun, 04 Oct 2026 21:26:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.8% (63.0%), 8.7% (33.0%), 8.9% (19.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Sun, 04 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 8.7% | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| 8.9% | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| 9.0% | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Below 8.5% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 9.1% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 8.5% | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $8K
- Liquidity: $8K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.8%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 5:05 PM ET on Oct 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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