Generic congressional ballot on Oct 1, 2026?
As of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 16:50:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price 8.8% (96.0%), 8.7% (5.0%), 8.9% (3.0%). The market has $33K in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8.8% | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 8.7% | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 8.9% | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Above 9.2% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 8.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 9.0% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 9.1% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Below 8.6% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 9.2% | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $33K
- Liquidity: $33K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 8.8%:
If the VoteHub 2026 generic ballot margin (D − R, time-weighted) is exactly 8.8% at exactly 2:35 PM ET on Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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