What will JD Vance say during Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026?

As of Fri, 30 Oct 2026 02:31:49 UTC, Kalshi traders price Biden (80.0%), Event does not qualify (76.0%), Trump (3+ times) (70.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Fri, 13 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Biden80.0%80.0¢20.0¢
Event does not qualify76.0%76.0¢24.0¢
Trump (3+ times)70.0%70.0¢30.0¢
California64.0%64.0¢36.0¢
Somali / Somalia / Somalian58.0%58.0¢42.0¢
Taxpayer55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Medicare / Medicaid55.0%55.0¢45.0¢
Healthcare47.0%47.0¢53.0¢
2028 / Campaign46.0%46.0¢54.0¢
Illegal Alien45.0%45.0¢55.0¢
Afford / Affordable / Affordability41.0%41.0¢59.0¢
Working Class / Middle Class37.0%37.0¢63.0¢
Democrat34.0%34.0¢66.0¢
Corrupt / Corruption33.0%33.0¢67.0¢
AI / Artificial Intelligence31.0%31.0¢69.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Biden:

If JD Vance says Biden as part of Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved Video of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream. If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Fraud Task Force Press Conference in St. Cloud, Minnesota originally scheduled for October 30, 2026 will be used. Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word. Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc). JD Vance speaking in an official capacity. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic). Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address. Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, the…

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