7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:01:05 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.08% or above (99.0%), 5.02% or above (99.0%), 5.06% or above (98.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.08% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.02% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.06% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 82.0% | 82.0¢ | 18.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 59.0% | 59.0¢ | 41.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 53.0% | 53.0¢ | 47.0¢ |
| 5.1% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 5.12% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 5.04% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| 4.92% or above | 22.0% | 22.0¢ | 78.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 5.14% or above | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| 4.98% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 4.96% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.98% or above:
If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.
Sources
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