10Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:11:59 UTC, Kalshi traders price 6.25% or above (99.0%), 2.75% or above (98.0%), 6.75% or above (97.0%). The market has $73K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6.25% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 2.75% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 6.75% or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 3.75% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 4.25% or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 2.25% or above | 90.0% | 90.0¢ | 10.0¢ |
| 7% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 7.25% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5% or above | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| 3% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 3.5% or above | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| 2% or above | 65.0% | 65.0¢ | 35.0¢ |
| 2.5% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 62.0% | 62.0¢ | 38.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $73K
- Liquidity: $73K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 2.75% or above:
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 2.74% on Dec 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Dec 31, 2027, or one week following Dec 31, 2027.
Sources
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