5Y US Treasury yield on Monday?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:56:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.54% or above (99.0%), 4.56% or above (99.0%), 4.58% or above (99.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 09 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.54% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.56% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.58% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.6% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.62% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.64% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 48.0% | 48.0¢ | 52.0¢ |
| 4.46% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.48% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.5% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.52% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.46% or above:
If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.45% on Nov 9, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 9, 2026, or one week following Nov 9, 2026.
Sources
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