When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:55:28 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Apr 1, 2027 (86.0%), Before Mar 1, 2027 (84.0%), Before Feb 1, 2027 (75.0%). The market has $4.5M in volume and closes on Thu, 01 Apr 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Apr 1, 2027 | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Before Mar 1, 2027 | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Before Feb 1, 2027 | 75.0% | 75.0¢ | 25.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 74.0% | 74.0¢ | 26.0¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 61.0% | 61.0¢ | 39.0¢ |
| Before Nov 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 24, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 1, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 17, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Before Oct 10, 2026 | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4.5M
- Liquidity: $4.5M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Apr 1, 2027:
If Anthropic confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2027.
Sources
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