30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:05:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price 5.26% or above (99.0%), 5.28% or above (88.0%), 5.3% or above (86.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.26% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 5.28% or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| 5.3% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 5.32% or above | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| 5.34% or above | 30.0% | 30.0¢ | 70.0¢ |
| 5.36% or above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| 5.46% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.4% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.44% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.48% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.5% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.42% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.52% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 5.38% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| 5.54% or above | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 5.46% or above:
If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.45% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.
Sources
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