2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 22, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 17:05:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.92% or above (99.0%), 4.9% or above (98.0%), 4.66% or above (86.0%). The market has $7K in volume and closes on Thu, 22 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.92% or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 4.9% or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 4.66% or above | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| 4.7% or above | 69.0% | 69.0¢ | 31.0¢ |
| 4.84% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.82% or above | 25.0% | 25.0¢ | 75.0¢ |
| 4.72% or above | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| 4.86% or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 4.88% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.68% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.94% or above | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| 4.8% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.74% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.76% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 4.78% or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $7K
- Liquidity: $7K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.8% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.79% on Oct 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 22, 2026, or one week following Oct 22, 2026.
Sources
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