2Y US Treasury yield on Oct 23, 2026?
As of Thu, 22 Oct 2026 16:49:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price 4.63% or above (89.0%), 4.61% or above (81.0%), 4.65% or above (80.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 23 Oct 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4.63% or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 4.61% or above | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| 4.65% or above | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| 4.67% or above | 63.0% | 63.0¢ | 37.0¢ |
| 4.69% or above | 52.0% | 52.0¢ | 48.0¢ |
| 4.71% or above | 41.0% | 41.0¢ | 59.0¢ |
| 4.73% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.81% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.83% or above | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| 4.85% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.87% or above | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| 4.89% or above | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| 4.75% or above | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| 4.79% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 4.77% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 4.71% or above:
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.70% on Oct 23, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 23, 2026, or one week following Oct 23, 2026.
Sources
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