Will the UK reverse the Diego Garcia sovereignty transfer?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:00 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (44.0%), Before Aug 1, 2027 (36.0%), Before Apr 1, 2027 (26.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Sat, 08 Jan 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Before Jan 1, 202844.0%44.0¢56.0¢
Before Aug 1, 202736.0%36.0¢64.0¢
Before Apr 1, 202726.0%26.0¢74.0¢
Before Dec 1, 20264.0%4.0¢96.0¢

Market details

Sources

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