How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:56:19 UTC, Kalshi traders price E13 (23.0%), E12 (23.0%), E11 (21.0%). The market has $55K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| E13 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| E12 | 23.0% | 23.0¢ | 77.0¢ |
| E11 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 14 and above | 14.0% | 14.0¢ | 86.0¢ |
| E10 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Below 8 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| E9 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| E8 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $55K
- Liquidity: $55K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for E13:
If the Democratic party has won exactly 13 seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Sources
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