How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win this year?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:03 UTC, Kalshi traders price At least 13 (98.0%), At least 10 (97.0%), At least 16 (97.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 15 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| At least 13 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| At least 10 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 16 | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| At least 19 | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| At least 22 | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| At least 25 | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| At least 28 | 76.0% | 76.0¢ | 24.0¢ |
| At least 31 | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| At least 35 | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| At least 40 | 36.0% | 36.0¢ | 64.0¢ |
| At least 46 | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| At least 52 | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| At least 58 | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Sources
Related markets
- Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
- How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
- Blue wave this year?
- Maine-Texas Senate Combo
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.