Trump's RCP approval average on Nov 4, 2026?

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 12:12:54 UTC, Kalshi traders price 39.1% (57.0%), 39.2% (21.0%), 39.0% (8.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Wed, 04 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
39.1%57.0%57.0¢43.0¢
39.2%21.0%21.0¢79.0¢
39.0%8.0%8.0¢92.0¢
39.3%7.0%7.0¢93.0¢
39.4%5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
Above 39.4%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
38.9%4.0%4.0¢96.0¢
Below 38.8%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢
38.8%1.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Sources

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