Will the temp in New York City be above 64.99° on Nov 3, 2026 at 3pm EST?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 21:46:08 UTC, Kalshi traders price 65° or above (99.0%), 66° or above (99.0%), 67° or above (99.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 65° or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 66° or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 67° or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 68° or above | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| 69° or above | 16.0% | 16.0¢ | 84.0¢ |
| 70° or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 71° or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 72° or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 73° or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| 74° or above | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $4K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 65° or above:
If the temperature recorded at New York City for Nov 3, 2026 at 3 PM EST as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 64.99°, then the market resolves to Yes. The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.
Sources
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