What will the tariff rate on Chinese imports be on Jan 1, 2027?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price 10% or above (96.0%), 15% or above (64.0%), 20% or above (51.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Fri, 08 Jan 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10% or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 15% or above | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| 20% or above | 51.0% | 51.0¢ | 49.0¢ |
| 30% or above | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| 50% or above | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| 100% or above | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Sources
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