Which November Swiss referendums will pass?
As of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:24:56 UTC, Kalshi traders price Fireworks Initiative (54.0%), War Materiel Act amendment (44.0%), AHV VAT financing (21.0%). The market has $3K in volume and closes on Sat, 27 Feb 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fireworks Initiative | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| War Materiel Act amendment | 44.0% | 44.0¢ | 56.0¢ |
| AHV VAT financing | 21.0% | 21.0¢ | 79.0¢ |
| Fair taxes for married couples | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $3K
- Liquidity: $3K
- Closes:
Sources
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