Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?
As of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 09:19:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Magdalena Andersson (78.0%), Ulf Kristersson (15.0%), Ebba Busch (3.0%). The market has $149K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Magdalena Andersson | 78.0% | 78.0¢ | 22.0¢ |
| Ulf Kristersson | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Ebba Busch | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jimmie Åkesson | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $149K
- Liquidity: $149K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Magdalena Andersson:
If Magdalena Andersson becomes Prime Minister of Sweden as a result of government formation following the 2026 Swedish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Jan 1, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
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