Traffic through the Suez Canal? (11/2 - 11/8)
As of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 00:29:29 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 260 (96.0%), Above 270 (91.0%), Above 280 (79.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Tue, 10 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 260 | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| Above 270 | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| Above 280 | 79.0% | 79.0¢ | 21.0¢ |
| Above 290 | 64.0% | 64.0¢ | 36.0¢ |
| Above 300 | 37.0% | 37.0¢ | 63.0¢ |
| Above 310 | 19.0% | 19.0¢ | 81.0¢ |
| Above 320 | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Above 330 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 260:
If the number of transit calls through the Suez Canal as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 260 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026. The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
Sources
Related markets
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Which leaders will leave office this year?
- Will Trump buy at least part of Greenland?
- Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?
- What countries will Trump visit this year?
- Will the US acquire any new territory?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.