Prime Minister of Spain after the next election?
As of Sat, 17 Oct 2026 10:15:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Alberto Núñez Feijóo (81.0%), Pedro Sánchez (18.0%), Santiago Abascal (5.0%). The market has $19K in volume and closes on Tue, 22 Aug 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alberto Núñez Feijóo | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Pedro Sánchez | 18.0% | 18.0¢ | 82.0¢ |
| Santiago Abascal | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $19K
- Liquidity: $19K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Alberto Núñez Feijóo:
If Alberto Núñez Feijóo becomes Prime Minister of Spain as a result of government formation following the next Spanish general election and meets all constitutional requirements before Aug 22, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Aug 22, 2028, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
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