Spanish general election winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price People's Party (84.0%), Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (15.0%), Vox (4.0%). The market has $20K in volume and closes on Sun, 22 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| People's Party | 84.0% | 84.0¢ | 16.0¢ |
| Spanish Socialist Workers' Party | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Vox | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Sumar | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $20K
- Liquidity: $20K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for People's Party:
If the winner of the next Spanish general election is People's Party, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details. Clarification (10/06/26): For purposes of this Contract, seats won by the Socialists’ Party of Catalonia (PSC-PSOE) count toward the Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE).
Sources
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