Next Serbian presidential election winner?

As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:17 UTC, Kalshi traders price SNS-backed candidate (51.0%), Student-backed candidate (50.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Mon, 27 Dec 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
SNS-backed candidate51.0%51.0¢49.0¢
Student-backed candidate50.0%50.0¢50.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for SNS-backed candidate:

If SNS-backed candidate wins the next Serbian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed by the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS) before the Republic Electoral Commission's candidate-nomination deadline for the first round. Student-backed candidate: Any presidential candidate nominated or formally endorsed, before that deadline, by the proposer of the student-designated electoral list in the October 25, 2026 parliamentary election, provided that candidate is not also nominated or endorsed by SNS. If the winner is neither an SNS-backed candidate nor a Student-backed candidate, both markets resolve No. For presidential or direct elections, the candidate who wins according to the electoral system (electoral college, popular vote, or runoff as applicable) and either (i) is inaugurated/sworn in/takes office, or (ii) the scheduled inauguration date passes without a different candidate taking office, is the winner. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.