Serbian parliamentary election winner?

As of Thu, 24 Sep 2026 17:12:07 UTC, Kalshi traders price SNS-led list (72.0%), Student list (30.0%). The market has $12K in volume and closes on Wed, 30 Jun 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
SNS-led list72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
Student list30.0%30.0¢70.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for SNS-led list:

If SNS-led list wins the next Serbian parliamentary election, then the market resolves to Yes. SNS-led list: Any formally registered electoral list containing the Serbian Progressive Party (SNS). Student list: Any formally registered electoral list designated as its national parliamentary electoral list by the university students organizing Serbia’s nationwide university blockades, provided that the list does not contain SNS. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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