Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 07:36:20 UTC, Kalshi traders price D. John Sauer (12.0%), Andrew Oldham (12.0%), Ted Cruz (11.0%). The market has $758K in volume and closes on Sun, 21 Jan 2029.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| D. John Sauer | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Andrew Oldham | 12.0% | 12.0¢ | 88.0¢ |
| Ted Cruz | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| James Ho | 9.0% | 9.0¢ | 91.0¢ |
| Aileen Cannon | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Emil Bove | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Michael Park | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Steven Menashi | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Mike Lee | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Neomi Rao | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Gregory G. Katsas | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Kathryn Mizelle | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Patrick Bumatay | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Anna St. John | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Allison Jones Rushing | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $758K
- Liquidity: $758K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for D. John Sauer:
If D. John Sauer is the first person confirmed by the Senate to the position of Justice of the Supreme Court by January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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