Who will win the 2027 Punjab Assembly election?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 15:59:13 UTC, Kalshi traders price Aam Aadmi Party (54.0%), Indian National Congress (35.0%), Bharatiya Janata Party (11.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 22 Mar 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aam Aadmi Party | 54.0% | 54.0¢ | 46.0¢ |
| Indian National Congress | 35.0% | 35.0¢ | 65.0¢ |
| Bharatiya Janata Party | 11.0% | 11.0¢ | 89.0¢ |
| Shiromani Akali Dal | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $1K
- Liquidity: $1K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Aam Aadmi Party:
If Aam Aadmi Party wins the 2027 Punjab Legislative Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. If an unlisted party, coalition, or alliance wins the most seats, every named market resolves NO. Alliance labels are interpreted as publicly constituted at issuance.
Sources
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