Will the French United Left primary be canceled?

As of Mon, 12 Oct 2026 21:30:58 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (91.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Tue, 20 Oct 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Yes91.0%91.0¢9.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

If the 2026 United Left primary organized by Front Populaire 2027 is canceled or otherwise not held after Issuance and before Oct 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from Front Populaire 2027 qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.