Turkish general election winner?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:26 UTC, Kalshi traders price AKP (72.0%), CHP (17.0%), DEM (5.0%). The market has $9K in volume and closes on Sun, 07 May 2028.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
AKP72.0%72.0¢28.0¢
CHP17.0%17.0¢83.0¢
DEM5.0%5.0¢95.0¢
MHP5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for AKP:

If the winner of the next Turkish general election is AKP, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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