2027 Nobel Peace Prize winner
As of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 14:37:02 UTC, Kalshi traders price International Criminal Court (9.9%), Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms (8.0%), Yulia Navalnaya (4.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Fri, 31 Dec 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Criminal Court | 9.9% | 9.9¢ | 90.1¢ |
| Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Yulia Navalnaya | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Committee to Protect Journalists | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Save the Children | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Volodymyr Zelenskyy | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Jimmy Lai | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Doctors Without Borders | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| UNRWA | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Centre for Humanitarian Dialogue | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| David Attenborough | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Elon Musk | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Julian Assange | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Minneapolis | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for International Criminal Court:
If International Criminal Court wins the Nobel Peace Prize in 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If two or more listed candidates are named as laureates of the Nobel Peace Prize, each of their markets will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, rounded down to the nearest cent, where N is the number of listed candidates named as laureates, and all other markets will resolve to No. Laureates who are not listed are not counted, and a listed candidate made up of more than one person counts as one candidate. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Nobel Foundation. Any references to the Nobel Foundation or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between the Nobel Foundation and Kalshi.
Sources
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