Larger margin of victory: Georgia or North Carolina Senate?

As of Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:01:42 UTC, Kalshi traders price North Carolina Senate (52.0%), Georgia Senate (45.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
North Carolina Senate52.0%52.0¢48.0¢
Georgia Senate45.0%45.0¢55.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for North Carolina Senate:

If North Carolina Senate achieves the largest margin of victory among the listed options, then the market resolves to Yes. For instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used. The margin of victory is calculated as the absolute difference in vote share (expressed as percentage) between first and second place finishers. If official results aren't available by the deadline, preliminary results from Source Agencies with at least 95% of expected vote are used.

Sources

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