California 42 House General Election: voter turnout
As of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:00:46 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 159K (99.0%), Above 340K (99.0%), Above 300K (99.0%). The market has $5K in volume and closes on Wed, 03 Nov 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 159K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 340K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 300K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 173K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 166K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 280K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 320K | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 152K | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
| Above 126K | 86.0% | 86.0¢ | 14.0¢ |
| Above 139K | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 133K | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 145K | 81.0% | 81.0¢ | 19.0¢ |
| Above 210K | 80.0% | 80.0¢ | 20.0¢ |
| Above 235K | 56.0% | 56.0¢ | 44.0¢ |
| Above 260K | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $5K
- Liquidity: $5K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 159K:
If the total vote count for all participants in California 42 House General Election is above 159000, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote count refers to the officially certified results from the relevant election authority. Provisional, absentee, early, mail-in, or electronic ballots are included only if reflected in the official certification. In preferential or ranked-choice systems, the contract resolves based on the vote count identified as the official result by the certifying authority. The contract resolves based on officially certified results regardless of ongoing appeals. Preliminary counts, exit polls, projections, or uncertified results do not qualify. If the election is postponed but held within one year of the originally scheduled date, the contract remains valid; if postponed beyond one year or canceled, all contracts resolve to No.
Sources
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