Will a major meteor strike hit Earth before 2030?
As of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:29:39 UTC, Kalshi traders price Yes (46.9%). The market has $159K in volume and closes on Tue, 01 Jan 2030.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.9% | 46.9¢ | 53.1¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $159K
- Liquidity: $159K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
If a major meteor (10 kilotons TNT equivalent or greater) hits Earth before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Sources
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