Total space launches in October
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 20:59:16 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 10 (99.0%), Above 9 (98.0%), Above 11 (83.0%). The market has $14K in volume and closes on Sun, 08 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Above 10 | 99.0% | 99.0¢ | 1.0¢ |
| Above 9 | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| Above 11 | 83.0% | 83.0¢ | 17.0¢ |
| Above 12 | 33.0% | 33.0¢ | 67.0¢ |
| Above 13 | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Above 14 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 17 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 18 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 15 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 16 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 20 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Above 19 | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $14K
- Liquidity: $14K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 10:
If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 10 launches in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Source Agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period. Please see full rules for more details.
Sources
Related markets
- Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- NASA lands on the moon?
- How many launches will SpaceX have this year?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in October?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.