Total space launches in November

As of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 18:33:34 UTC, Kalshi traders price Above 9 (90.0%), Above 10 (60.0%), Above 11 (40.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Tue, 08 Dec 2026.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Above 990.0%90.0¢10.0¢
Above 1060.0%60.0¢40.0¢
Above 1140.0%40.0¢60.0¢
Above 1220.0%20.0¢80.0¢
Above 138.0%8.0¢92.0¢
Above 153.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 163.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 173.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 183.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 193.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 203.0%3.0¢97.0¢
Above 143.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Above 9:

If all U.S.-licensed commercial operators combined have Above 9 launches in November 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the Source Agency records the date of liftoff in a different time zone, the Exchange will convert to Eastern Time for purposes of allocating the launch to the time period. Please see full rules for more details.

Sources

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