Who will be Latvia’s Prime Minister after the election?
As of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:12:23 UTC, Kalshi traders price Andris Kulbergs (92.0%), Viktors Valainis (7.0%), Jūlija Stepaņenko (7.0%). The market has $26K in volume and closes on Sun, 03 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Andris Kulbergs | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| Viktors Valainis | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Jūlija Stepaņenko | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Arvils Ašeradens | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
| Andris Šuvajevs | 5.0% | 5.0¢ | 95.0¢ |
| Ilze Indriksone | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Jānis Citskovskis | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Svetlana Čulkova | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Raivis Zeltīts | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Alvis Hermanis | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ainārs Šlesers | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
| Ivars Ijabs | 4.0% | 4.0¢ | 96.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $26K
- Liquidity: $26K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Andris Kulbergs:
If Andris Kulbergs becomes Prime Minister of Latvia as a result of government formation following the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to Latvia’s constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the Saeima, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker or acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms before Oct 3, 2027, or new elections are called before government formation, all listed markets resolve No. If an unlisted person qualifies first, all listed markets resolve No. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.
Sources
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