Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
As of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 03:36:12 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gadi Eizenkot (49.0%), NOON (39.0%), Benjamin Netanyahu (7.0%). The market has $10.1M in volume and closes on Wed, 27 Oct 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gadi Eizenkot | 49.0% | 49.0¢ | 51.0¢ |
| NOON | 39.0% | 39.0¢ | 61.0¢ |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Avigdor Lieberman | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Amir Ohana | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yossi Cohen | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yair Golan | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Aviv Kohavi | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Benny Gantz | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Daniel Hagari | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Moshe Feiglin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Naftali Bennett | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Gideon Sa'ar | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yair Lapid | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
| Yariv Levin | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $10.1M
- Liquidity: $10.1M
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gadi Eizenkot:
If Gadi Eizenkot becomes Prime Minister of Israel as a result of government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before Oct 27, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to the first person who, as a result of government formation following the election, is formally appointed, sworn in, or invested as Prime Minister according to the country's constitutional procedures, commands the confidence of the parliament/legislature, and exercises the full powers of the office (not serving in a caretaker/acting capacity from the previous government). If no government forms by Oct 27, 2027, the Contract resolves to "No one" if that is an option and No for all other strikes. If new elections are called before government formation, the Contract resolves to "No one" immediately and No for all other strikes.
Sources
Related markets
- Next French presidential election winner?
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
- Taipei mayoral election winner?
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.