Will the S&P 500 be above 7424.9999 on Nov 3, 2026 at 10am EST?
As of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 02:16:30 UTC, Kalshi traders price 7,425 or above (98.0%), 7,430 or above (97.0%), 7,435 or above (97.0%). The market has $4K in volume and closes on Tue, 03 Nov 2026.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7,425 or above | 98.0% | 98.0¢ | 2.0¢ |
| 7,430 or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 7,435 or above | 97.0% | 97.0¢ | 3.0¢ |
| 7,440 or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 7,445 or above | 96.0% | 96.0¢ | 4.0¢ |
| 7,450 or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 7,465 or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 7,470 or above | 95.0% | 95.0¢ | 5.0¢ |
| 7,455 or above | 94.0% | 94.0¢ | 6.0¢ |
| 7,460 or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 7,480 or above | 93.0% | 93.0¢ | 7.0¢ |
| 7,485 or above | 92.0% | 92.0¢ | 8.0¢ |
| 7,490 or above | 91.0% | 91.0¢ | 9.0¢ |
| 7,495 or above | 89.0% | 89.0¢ | 11.0¢ |
| 7,500 or above | 88.0% | 88.0¢ | 12.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $4K
- Liquidity: $128K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for 7,425 or above:
If the S&P 500 index value on Nov 3, 2026 at 10am EST is above 7424.9999, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will close on November 03, 2026. The market will expire at the sooner of the first release of the data, or one week after November 03, 2026. Pursuant to the Kalshi Rulebook, the Exchange has modified the Source Agency and Underlying for indices markets. See the rules for more information.
Sources
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