How many House seats will Democrats win in Pennsylvania?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:21:11 UTC, Kalshi traders price E10 (36.0%), E11 (35.0%), E9 (21.0%). The market has $63K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
E1036.0%36.0¢64.0¢
E1135.0%35.0¢65.0¢
E921.0%21.0¢79.0¢
E87.0%7.0¢93.0¢
Above 123.0%3.0¢97.0¢
E122.0%2.0¢98.0¢
E72.0%2.0¢98.0¢
Below 71.0%1.0¢99.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for E10:

If Democrats win 10 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Pennsylvania, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.