WI-04 House winner?

As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:29:35 UTC, Kalshi traders price Gwen Moore (96.0%), Tim Rogers (5.0%). The market has $1K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Gwen Moore96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Tim Rogers5.0%5.0¢95.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Gwen Moore:

If the House member sworn in for WI-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

Related markets

DOXA is a liquidity aggregator for prediction markets that compares odds and depth across Polymarket, Kalshi and others and routes each trade for best execution with an AI assistant.