MO-04 House winner?

As of Wed, 02 Sep 2026 19:43:45 UTC, Kalshi traders price Mark Alford (96.0%), Jordan Herrera (3.0%). The market has $8K in volume and closes on Mon, 04 Jan 2027.

Updated:

Current odds

OutcomeChanceYes priceNo price
Mark Alford96.0%96.0¢4.0¢
Jordan Herrera3.0%3.0¢97.0¢

Market details

Resolution rules

Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Mark Alford:

If the House member sworn in for MO-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Sources

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