Guatemalan Congressional election winner?
As of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 21:00:04 UTC, Kalshi traders price National Unity of Hope (45.0%), Movimiento Semilla (20.0%), Vamos (10.0%). The market has $13K in volume and closes on Tue, 31 Aug 2027.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| National Unity of Hope | 45.0% | 45.0¢ | 55.0¢ |
| Movimiento Semilla | 20.0% | 20.0¢ | 80.0¢ |
| Vamos | 10.0% | 10.0¢ | 90.0¢ |
| Cabal | 8.0% | 8.0¢ | 92.0¢ |
| Vision with Values | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Todos | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Valor | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $13K
- Liquidity: $13K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for National Unity of Hope:
If the winner of the next Guatemalan Congressional election is National Unity of Hope, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Sources
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