Which G7 leader will leave office next?
As of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 18:42:25 UTC, Kalshi traders price Emmanuel Macron (67.0%), Friedrich Merz (31.0%), Donald Trump (3.0%). The market has $21K in volume and closes on Sun, 01 Jan 2045.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emmanuel Macron | 67.0% | 67.0¢ | 33.0¢ |
| Friedrich Merz | 31.0% | 31.0¢ | 69.0¢ |
| Donald Trump | 3.0% | 3.0¢ | 97.0¢ |
| Andy Burnham | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Mark Carney | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Sanae Takaichi | 2.0% | 2.0¢ | 98.0¢ |
| Giorgia Meloni | 1.0% | 1.0¢ | 99.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $21K
- Liquidity: $21K
- Closes:
Sources
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