Keiko Fujimori out as President of Peru?
As of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 04:18:10 UTC, Kalshi traders price Before Jan 1, 2028 (15.0%), Before Jul 1, 2027 (7.0%), Before Jan 1, 2027 (6.0%). The market has $2K in volume and closes on Sat, 01 Jan 2028.
Updated:
Current odds
| Outcome | Chance | Yes price | No price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 15.0% | 15.0¢ | 85.0¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 7.0% | 7.0¢ | 93.0¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 6.0% | 6.0¢ | 94.0¢ |
Market details
- Venue: Kalshi
- Volume: $2K
- Liquidity: $2K
- Closes:
Resolution rules
Each outcome is a separate contract with its own rules. The rules for Before Jan 1, 2028:
If Keiko Fujimori leaves as President of Peru before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. This market will resolve based on the announcement date, regardless of effective date. An acknowledgement that they will leave office due solely to the scheduled expiration of a constitutionally or legally mandated term limit does not satisfy the Payout Criterion. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Sources
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